Atlanta United will be looking to salvage some pride when they welcome Toronto FC to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday for the penultimate round of the 2026 Major League Soccer regular season, having already been ruled out of postseason contention for a second consecutive year. Their visitors, however, remain in the hunt for a playoff spot and will be desperate to pick up a positive result on the road.
Breel Embolo looked to have rescued a point for Atlanta last time out with an 88th-minute equalizer, but Benie Traore’s 25-yard screamer seven minutes later handed New York City FC a 2-1 victory over Gerardo Martino’s side.
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The Five Stripes, who have lost four of their last five matches, have struggled to put together a consistent run of results all season. They sit just two places above the foot of the overall league table and will be hoping to finish the campaign on a somewhat respectable note.
Toronto, on the other hand, still have plenty to play for, sitting two points outside the wildcard round qualification places and four points adrift of the automatic playoff spots.
The visitors also experienced late drama in their last league outing, as Josh Sargent reacted quickest to a rebound off the woodwork to score from close range in the 86th minute and secure a 2-1 home win over DC United. That result made it three wins and a draw from their last five matches.
Robin Fraser’s side have made a habit of drawing games this season, but they will need to pick up maximum points in each of their remaining two fixtures if they are to end their five-year wait for playoff football.
Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head and Key Numbers
- Of the last 10 meetings between the sides, Atlanta have won three, and Toronto have claimed two victories, while the remaining five ended in draws.
- Toronto have never won a regular-season match at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Both teams have scored five goals apiece across their last five meetings.
- Only DC United (39), Sporting Kansas City (38) and CF Montréal (36) have scored fewer goals in MLS than Atlanta’s 40 this season.
Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Prediction
While Atlanta will be relying on their superior squad quality to get a result, Toronto boast a much better attacking record and head into the contest in better form. However, the visitors’ struggles on the road cannot be overlooked.
Given the recent outcomes of this fixture, coupled with the fact that 12 of Toronto’s league games this season have ended in draws, Sunday’s encounter could well produce another stalemate.
Prediction: Atlanta United 2-2 Toronto FC
Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Betting Tips
Tip 1 – Result: Draw
Tip 2 – Goals – Over/Under 2.5 – Over 2.5 goals
Tip 3 – Both teams to score: Yes
Edited by Peter Pedroncelli
