Match Details
Fixture: (12) Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida
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Date: November 4, 2026
Tournament: Paris Masters
Round: Second Round (Round of 32)
Venue: La Défense Arena, Nanterre, France
Category: ATP Masters 1000
Surface: Hard (Indoor)
Prize Money: €6,309,095
Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN Premium
Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida preview
12th seed Tommy Paul will square off against Daniel Merida in the second round of the Paris Masters 2026.
Paul faced Holger Rune in the first round, who won the title here in 2022. Neither player came close to a break point for most of the opening set. However, the American turned up the intensity in the 11th game to snag a break of serve. He closed out the set in the next game but not before saving a couple of break points.
Paul secured a break of serve in the early stages of the second set, and broke Rune‘s serve once again in the seventh game. He was on the cusp of victory but couldn’t serve out the match in the eighth game despite having a match point. Nevertheless, he closed out the match on his second try for a 7-5, 6-4 win.
Merida faced Sebastian Baez in the first round. The Spaniard captured a fairly competitive first set thanks to a single break of serve in his favor. He broke Baez‘s serve twice in the second set to register a 6-4, 6-2 victory.
Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida head-to-head
This will be the very first career meeting between them, so the head-to-head stands at 0-0 for now.
Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida odds
(Odds via BetMGM)
Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida prediction
Paul’s win over Rune marked his 47th of the season, the most he has tallied in a single year in his career. He previously made the quarterfinals of the Paris Masters in 2022, his best result at the tournament so far.
Merida saved all four break points that he faced during his win over Baez, thus making a memorable debut in Paris. He improved his record for the season to 22-12 at the ATP level with his latest win.
This has been a breakthrough season for Merida. He won his maiden ATP title and cracked the top 40 as well. However, he hasn’t impressed against the big guns. He has gone 0-5 against top 20 players this year. He also has a 1-5 record against American players this season. Given their respective results this year, coupled with Merida’s struggles against the best in the game, Paul will be the favorite to win this match.
Pick: Tommy Paul to win in straight sets.
Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida betting tips
Tip 1: The match will have at least 20 games.
Tip 2: Paul to win at least one set with a score of 6-4.
Edited by Rohit
