Frosinone take on Lecce in Italian Serie A action at Stadio Benito Stirpe on Thursday. Both teams dropped points on the weekend in the previous round of top-flight games.
Frosinone are performing very well after being promoted to Serie A last season, sitting sixth with 14 points from eight games.
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For context, that is the same number of points as giants Juventus, with Juve and Frosinone both winning four, drawing two, and losing two top-flight games so far in this campaign.
Retaining their Serie A status at the end of the term will be the objective, but with the UEFA Champions League qualification spots only four points away at this stage, coach Massimiliano Alvini must be pleased with his side’s excellent start to the season, which has included wins over Fiorentina, Como, Venezia, and Sassuolo.
Only heavyweights Napoli and Juventus have beaten the Canarini this term, with Frosinone’s most recent encounter producing a thrilling 4-4 draw away to Atalanta on Sunday.
In a back-and-forth game that kept changing shape and result, Romano Schmid scored a brace for Frosinone and Nikola Krstović netted twice for the hosts. Ederson and Eljif Elmas added goals for Atalanta, while Giacomo Calò was on target for the visitors, and Aleksa Terzić scored Frosinone’s 82nd-minute equalizer to ensure the spoils were shared at the New Balance Arena.
Meanwhile, Lecce are 12th in the Serie A table, with nine points from eight games, thanks to a mix of three wins and five losses.
Consistency has been an issue for the Salentini, but wins against Venezia, Monza, and Udinese have shown that they are capable of scoring goals and will have a decent chance of avoiding relegation if they continue picking up points at this rate.
Eusebio Di Francesco’s side lost their most recent top-flight game 2-0 at home against Juventus on Sunday.
First-half goals from Weston McKennie and Douglas Luiz earned Juve the victory against Lecce at the Stadio Via del Mare, bringing the home side back down to earth after their impressive 3-0 away victory against Udinese the previous week.
After this mid-week match, Lecce will take on Genoa (at home) and Torino (away) before the international break, and they may see those as opportunities to gain further points.
Frosinone vs Lecce head-to-head stats and key numbers
- In 26 matches between these sides, Lecce have had the upper hand with 12 wins, while Frosinone have beaten Lecce on six occasions.
- There have been eight draws in this fixture, including in their most recent matchup, a 1-1 stalemate in Frosinone which took place in the 2023-24 Serie A campaign.
- Frosinone’s previous campaign in Serie A came in the 2023-24 season, when they were relegated, and before that, the 2018-19 campaign, when they were again relegated. With 14 points from eight games, the Canarini are on course to ensure history does not repeat itself.
Frosinone vs Lecce prediction
Frosinone have been particularly impressive at home, scoring an average of over two goals per game in matches at the Stadio Benito Stirpe. We expect the home side to press high up the pitch as they try to exploit spaces left by Lecce’s defense.
Lecce have struggled to score on the road this term, and they are likely to adopt a compact shape as they aim to absorb pressure and prioritize swift counterattacks to trouble their rivals.
Frosinone are in exceptional form and playing at home in this match, so we are going with a narrow victory for the Canarini over Lecce.
Prediction: Frosinone 2-1 Lecce
Frosinone vs Lecce betting tips
Tip 1: Frosinone to win
Tip 2: Both teams to score
Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals
Edited by Peter Pedroncelli
